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Economic and Financial Analyses of Transport Projects An introduction October 2021 Economic and Financial Analyses • Two different set of questions: • Does the project deliver economic value Economic Net Present value for the society? Who are the beneficiaries? e Positive Negative • Is the project financially viable? u l e a v v i t Accept t i • Defining the project vis-à-vis other options n s Project e Po s re • Policymaker decision P Reject project t Accept the e • Can we improve the project? N project without e c i v i budget constraint m t • Projects maybe financially profitable but o a or review the economically not desirable or vice versa n Neg project o fundamentals • These analyses are part of most public Ec investment management frameworks • It is recommended for any investment and policy analysis 2 Why are these questions relevant? Economic analysis Financial analysis • Economic sustainability (resource • Macro-fiscal level (fiscal sustainability): allocation): the benefits should Projects’ budget impact should not compensate for the cost undermine the client government’s fiscal • Environmental sustainability (another case sustainability. of resource allocation): GHG emissions, • Sector, entity and project level (financial waterways sustainability): Project entities depending • Social sustainability (economic agents): on cost recovery for sustainability should projects are likely to impact on different eventually be able to self-finance their stakeholders by affecting their revenues in activities. absolute and relative value – distributional • Customer level (affordability of users): effects project/entities resulting cost of service should be affordable for customers to ensure feasibility of the project For some projects, the equilibrium between economic and financial drivers is more complex 3 Financial analysis vs. economic analysis Economic analysis Financial analysis Scopeof analysis Society Entity or project Databeing analyzed Financial and non-financial flow Financial flows (externalities) Cost definition Opportunity cost Financial cost Return definition Neteconomic benefit Net financial benefit Relevant discount rate Social cost of capital Project-specific cost of financing Prices Economicprices Market (actual) prices (exclude taxes, subsidies, interest) ECONOMIC ANALYSIS PROVIDES A BROADER ANALYSIS OF NET ECONOMIC BENEFITS, WHEREAS FINANCIAL ANALYSIS ONLY CONSIDERS FINANCIAL FLOWS AND DIRECT IMPACTS 4
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