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15-780: Probabilistic Graphical Models J. Zico Kolter February 22-24, 2016 1 Outline Introduction Probability background Probabilistic graphical models Probabilistic inference MAPInference 2 Outline Introduction Probability background Probabilistic graphical models Probabilistic inference MAPInference 3 Probabilistic reasoning Thus far, most of the problems we have encountered in the course have been deterministic (e.g., assigning an exact set of value to variables, searching where we can deterministically transition between states, optimizing deterministic costs, etc) Many tasks in the real world involve reasoning about and making decisions using probabilities Afundamental shift in AI work that occurred during the 80s/90s 4
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