274x Filetype PPTX File size 1.44 MB Source: people.stat.sc.edu
Ideas in Chapter 9
• Basic principles of hypothesis testing
• How to use hypothesis testing to test a mean or
proportion
• Assumptions of each hypothesis-testing procedure
• How to evaluate them
• Consequences if they are seriously violated
• Pitfalls & ethical issues involved in hypothesis testing
• How to avoid the pitfalls involved in hypothesis testing
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Consider:
A company claims that it has only a 5% complaint rate for its
•
products. A consumer protection group thinks the percent is higher.
A survey of a random sample of 400 product owners shows that 33
had complaints. = ?
A. = 0.0001
B. 0.05
C.
= = 0.0825 (8.25%)
D. = 0.01
A company claims that it has only a 5% complaint rate for its products. A
consumer protection group thinks the percent is higher. A survey of a random
sample of 400 product owners shows that 33 had complaints.
(That is, = = 0.0825 (8.25%) for the Consumer Group’s sample)
Assume that the company’s claim is true and that p (the population proportion)
is really 0.05 (5%) just as the company claims.
• Remember, the sampling distribution of is approximately normal as long as the sample size is
big enough
• The mean of the sampling distribution of is p, and
the standard deviation = = 0.01
.02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08
Assume that the company’s claim is true and that p is really 0.05 (5%).
What is the probability that a of 8% or more would be observed?
= 0.0825
0.997
.02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08
1.000 – 0.997 = 0.003 and 0.003 / 2 = 0.0015 (0.15%) in each tail
P( 0.08) = 0.0015 (0.15%) That is, UNLIKELY!
Null Hypothesis, H (H-naught)
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• Hypothesis test checks sample data against a claim or assumption
about the population
• H states the claim of the assertion to be tested
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• Null hypothesis is the status quo or historical value
• H is ALWAYS about a population parameter,
0
NOT a sample statistic
• Always contains “=“, or “≤”, or “≥” sign
• Until hypothesis test is completed and the decision is made,
researcher must “ASSUME” that H is TRUE
0
• Similar to the notion of innocent until proven guilty in our
justice system…
• ASSUMPTION of true H may or may not be REJECTED
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• BUT the ASSUMPTION is NEVER ACCEPTED
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