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Financial Applications of Stochastic Calculus Nunez, N.M. Cape Fear Community College The University of North Carolina Wilmington Abstract I studied the concepts and principles of stochastic calculus to understand its implementations in financial markets. The study began with probability theory and a review of important topics in calculus and statistics including Taylor series expansions, partial derivatives, differential equations, and cumulative standard normal distribution. Following this was study of stochastic processes and their characteristics such as Martingales and Markov chains. Previous knowledge was pieced together with the introduction of Brownian motion, the mean square limit theorem, and the stochastic integral. The mathematical research culminated in the development of an understanding of Ito’s Lemma. The research then transitioned to an exploration and investigation of the applications and ubiquity of stochastic calculus in finance. The Black-Scholes options pricing model served as the prime point of inquiry and evaluation although other options pricing models were also observed. Quantitative methods involving stochastic calculus were evaluated in addition to less mathematical methods such as fundamental analysis and the study of behavioral finance. The research concluded with a resolution regarding the comparative importance and prevalence of stochastic calculus in finance. Research Questions • What are the basic principles and ideas of stochastic calculus? Figure 2. Itô’s Lemma • What are the implementations of stochastic calculus in finance? Figure 3. Various stochastic processes. Note the image does not contain the • Relative to other financial methods, how prevalent are implementations of Results full detail of the processes as their movements are infinitely precise. stochastic calculus among professionals in the industry? I found that the basic concepts and principles of stochastic calculus center around the derivation of Ito’s lemma. Ito’s lemma Conclusion is the stochastic calculus equivalent of the fundamental theorem of calculus for differential calculus. Ito’s lemma states that a second degree Taylor series approximation must be created for Stochastic calculus is a branch of calculus designed to analyze movement of random processes. Due Methods the chain rule of a stochastic process because of the mean to the infinite randomness of stochastic processes, they must be squared in order to contain finite square limit. Stochastic processes are infinite in variation, due to values, and this necessitates second degree Taylor approximations. The implementations of stochastic In order to find the answers to my research questions, I first consulted papers written by the founder Brownian motion, but finite when squared due to the mean calculus are for financial forecasting and asset modeling. Professionals utilize stochastic calculus and discoverer of many principles of stochastic calculus. Thus I learned the from the source the square limit. Since the process is squared in order to be finite, within quantitative methods alongside qualitative methods and both offer valid, essential strategies essence of stochastic calculus. I then read various different textbooks and journals that discussed and the chain rule of differential calculus will not apply with a first explained the role of stochastic calculus in modeling financial instruments. Each time I encountered a order Taylor series approximation. Instead, a second order Taylor to companies, and thus stochastic calculus is relatively important and prevalent in finance. term in a source that was not explained therein, I separately researched that term to understand it series approximation must be used because the coefficients do entirely before continuing my research of the original source. This often required me to use the sources not cancel with a first order approximation. cited within the original source. Figure 1 is a simplified graphic representation of this process. Stochastic calculus is of use to quantitative analysts in that it Works Cited enables them to craft mathematical models to predict the movement of processes that would otherwise be infinitely Capiński, M., Kopp, P.E., Traple, J. (2012). Stochastic Calculus for Finance. Cambridge University Press Source Source unpredictable due to their variation. Companies often use Source quantitative methods based on stochastic calculus in Sources of Jumadilova, S., Silaubekov, N., & Kunanbayeva, D. (2017). Company’s Financial State Forecasting: source Source combination with qualitative methods such as fundamental Methods and Approaches. Investment Management and Financial Sources of analysis for the most accurate possible results. Stochastic https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(3).2017.09 sources of Innovations, 14(3), 93-101. source calculus plays a large role in financial forecasting, and it is notably Findings implemented in options pricing models such as the Black-Scholes Itô, K. (1967) The Canonical Modification of Stochastic Processes. Journal of the Mathematical Society model and the binomial model. of Japan, 20(1-2), 130-150. 10.2969/jmsj/02010130 Figure 1. A graphical representation of my research process Reid, S. R. (2017, April 7). Random walks down Wall Street, Stochastic Processes in Python [Graph]. Upon finding the answer to my first two research questions, I found material regarding the third Turing Finance. http://www.turingfinance.com/random-walks-down- question and studied to reach a conclusion. wall-street-stochastic-processes-in-python/ Ito’s Lemma. (n.d.). [Equation]. Derivatives Academy. http://sp-finance.e- monsite.com/medias/images/ito-lemma-3.png
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