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the role of the state in economic development guido tabellini cesifo working paper no 1256 category 5 fiscal policy macroeconomics and growth august 2004 an electronic version of the paper ...

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                THE ROLE OF THE STATE IN ECONOMIC 
                            DEVELOPMENT 
                                     
                                     
                            GUIDO TABELLINI 
                                     
                                     
                     CESIFO WORKING PAPER NO. 1256 
               CATEGORY 5: FISCAL POLICY, MACROECONOMICS AND GROWTH 
                               AUGUST 2004 
          
                                     
          
          
          
          
          
          
          
                       An electronic version of the paper may be downloaded  
                        • from the SSRN website:              www.SSRN.com 
                        • from the CESifo website:           www.CESifo.de 
                                     CESifo Working Paper No. 1256 
         
         
             THE ROLE OF THE STATE IN ECONOMIC 
                       DEVELOPMENT 
                               
         
                           Abstract 
         
         
        This paper discusses the recent literature on the role of the state in economic development. It 
        concludes that government incentives to enact sound policies are key to economic success. It 
        also discusses the evidence on what happens after episodes of economic and political  
        liberalizations, asking whether political liberalizations strengthen government incentives to 
        enact sound economic policies. The answer is mixed. Most episodes of economic 
        liberalizations are indeed preceded by political liberalizations. But the countries that have 
        done better are those that have managed to open up the economy first, and only later have 
        liberalized their political system. 
        JEL Code: O1, O11. 
        Keywords: political liberalization, democracy, economic development. 
         
         
         
                          Guido Tabellini 
                        IGIER Bocconi University 
                           5, Via Salasco 
                           20136 Milan 
                             Italy 
                       guido.tabellini@uni-bocconi.it 
         
         
         
        I am grateful to Francesco Giavazzi for several helpful discussions, to Andrew Feltenstein and 
        participants in the IMF conference on the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region 
        on April 7,8, 2004, Washington DC, for helpful comments, to Torsten Persson for sharing 
        with me his data set on democractic institutions and economic development (Persson (2004)), 
        to Gaia Narciso for excellent research assistance, and to Bocconi University and the Canadian 
        Institute for Advanced Research for financial support. 
        “…a wise and frugal Government which shall restrain men from injuring one another, 
        which shall leave them otherwise free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and 
        improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned.  This is the 
        sum of good government, and this is necessary to close the circle of our own felicities”. (T. 
        Jefferson, 1st Inaugural, 1801, Memorial Edition; 3:320). 
         
     1. Introduction 
     This is how Thomas Jefferson viewed the role of government in 1801.  Is this minimalist view still 
     relevant today? Or have we become wiser?  Ths paper addresses this question, reviewing the recent 
     literature on economic growth and on the role of the public sector in fostering economic 
     development.  
      
     The central conclusion of this recent literature is that Jefferson was largely right. Not because a 
     minimalist government is necessarily better than a big government. But because the key challenge 
     for most developing countries is to create the basic legal and institutional infrastructures that protect 
     property rights, enforce private contracts and allow individuals to freely take advantage of market 
     opportunities. In principle there are many more things that governments could and should do: 
     provide public goods, correct market failures, reduce inequalities in income and opportunities, 
     stabilize excessive economic fluctuations.  But these other government activities are not what 
     makes the difference between success and failure in economic development. The real difference is 
     made by the basic institutional and legal infrastructures that protect property rights, enforce the rule 
     of law and prevent abuse by governments. 
      
     This conclusion raises another, more difficult, question. What can developing countries do to 
     facilitate the emergence of these basic institutional infrastructures and more generally to create 
     appropriate government incentives?  The paper concludes with a general discussion of this question, 
     reviewing some recent results on the effects of economic and political liberalizations.  
      
     The outline of the paper is as follows. Section 2 discusses how history and institutions influence the 
     current level of economic development. Section 3 reviews the recent empirical literature on how 
     public policy affects economic growth. Section 4 discusses the effects of economic and political 
     liberalizations on economic performance and policy outcomes. Section 5 summarizes and concludes 
      
     2. Institutions and economic development  
     The idea that institutions protecting property rights are key to economic development is not new. 
     North (1981) has built his analysis of economic history on this premise. More recently, Hall and 
                         1
            Jones (1999) have shown the relevance of this idea in explaining contemporary differences in the 
            level of economic development across countries.  
             
            At the core of the influential paper by Hall and Jones (1999) lies a startling correlation, depicted in 
            Figure 1:  countries with a better institutional environment have a much higher level of labor 
            productivity. The vertical axis of Figure 1 measures output per worker (LOGYL) in 1988 – a similar 
            correlation exists with regard to total factor productivity. The horizontal axis measures the quality 
            of the institutional environment (GADP), at about the same point in time. The variable GADP 
            summarizes perceptions of structural policies and institutional environments encouraging the 
                                                                                                              1
            production of output rather than its diversion (through theft, corruption, litigation or expropriation).   
             
                 10.4756
               L
               Y
               g
               lo
                 6.91856
                         .225                                                        1
                                                      GADP
                                                                                         
            Figure 1  Labor productivity (LOGYL) and institutional quality (GADP) 
            Source: Hall and Jones (1999) 
             
            Of course, reverse causation is a serious issue in interpreting Figure 1. Do better institutions and 
            structural policies lead to more productivity, or does economic development lead to better policies 
            and institutions? Hall and Jones (1999) argue that there is enough exogenous variation in structural 
            policies and institutions to identify a causal link from institutional quality to productivity. They 
            show that institutional quality is explained by historical and geographic features of countries (such 
                                                             
            1 This variable has been compiled by Knack and Keefer (1995) using ICRG data. It is measured over the period 1986-95 
            and consists of a simple average of five indicators; two of which relate to the role of the government in protecting 
            property rights against private diversion (law and order, and bureaucratic quality); the other three to the role of the 
            government itself as a source of diversion (corruption, risk of expropriation and government repudiation of contracts). 
            The variable GADP varies from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating better policies (more protection of property rights).  
            We return to this variable in sections 4 and 5 below.  
                                                             2
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...The role of state in economic development guido tabellini cesifo working paper no category fiscal policy macroeconomics and growth august an electronic version may be downloaded from ssrn website www com de abstract this discusses recent literature on it concludes that government incentives to enact sound policies are key success also evidence what happens after episodes political liberalizations asking whether strengthen answer is mixed most indeed preceded by but countries have done better those managed open up economy first only later liberalized their system jel code o keywords liberalization democracy igier bocconi university via salasco milan italy uni i am grateful francesco giavazzi for several helpful discussions andrew feltenstein participants imf conference middle east northern africa mena region april washington dc comments torsten persson sharing with me his data set democractic institutions gaia narciso excellent research assistance canadian institute advanced financial s...

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