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NINTH EDITION MACROECONOMICS Theories and Policies Richard T. Froyen University of North Carolina Chapel Hill PEARSON Prentice Hall Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458 Contents Preface xix PART ONE INTRODUCTION AND MEASUREMENT l CHAPTER 1 Introduction 2 N 1.1 What Is Macroeconomics? 2 1.2 Post-World War II U.S. Economic Performance 3 Output 3 Unemployment 4 Inflation 5 Inflation and Unemployment 6 The U.S. Federal Budget and Trade Deficits 8 1.3 Central Questions in Macroeconomics 10 Instability of Output 10 Movements in the Inflation Rate 10 The Output-Inflation Relationship 10 Growth Slowdown and Turnaround? 11 Implications of Deficits and Surpluses 11 1.4 Conclusion 12 CHAPTER 2 Measurement of Macroeconomic Variables 13 2.1 The National Income Accounts 13 2.2 Gross Domestic Product 14 Currently Produced 14 Final Goods and Services 14 Evaluated at Market Prices 15 2.3 National Income 17 2.4 Personal and Disposable Personal Income 20 2.5 Some National Income Accounting Identities 21 2.6 Measuring Price Changes: Real versus Nominal GDP 23 Real GDP in Prices from a Base Year 24 Chain-Weighted Real GDP 25 x CONTENTS 2.7 The Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index 26 2.8 Measures of Cyclical Variation in Output 27 2.9 Conclusion 29 Perspectives 2.1 What GDP Is Not 18 Perspectives 2.2 National Income Accounts for England and Wales in 1688 22 Perspectives 2.3 Dating Business Cycles 29 PART TWO CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND THE KEYNESIAN REVOLUTION 31 CHAPTER 3 Classical Macroeconomics (I): Output and Employment 32 . 3.1 The Starting Point 32 3.2 The Classical Revolution 33 3.3 Production 34 3.4 Employment 37 Labor Demand 37 Labor Supply 39 3.5 Equilibrium Output and Employment 42 The Determinants of Output and Employment 44 Factors That Do Not Affect Output 48 3.6 Conclusion 48 Perspectives 3-1 Real Business Cycles: A First Look 48 CHAPTER 4 Classical Macroeconomics (II): Money, Prices, and Interest 51 4.1 The Quantity Theory of Money 51 The Equation of Exchange 51 The Cambridge Approach to the Quantity Theory 53 The Classical Aggregate Demand Curve 54 4.2 The Classical Theory of the Interest Rate 56 4.3 Policy Implications of the Classical Equilibrium Model 60 Fiscal Policy 60 Monetary Policy 66 4.4 Conclusion 66 Perspectives 4-1 Money in Hyperinflations 57 Perspectives 4-2 Supply-Side Economics—A Modern Classical View 65 CONTENTS xi CHAPTER 5 The Keynesian System (I): The Role of Aggregate Demand 68 5.1 The Problem of Unemployment 68 5.2 The Simple Keynesian Model: Conditions for Equilibrium Output 71 5.3 The Components of Aggregate Demand 76 Consumption 76 Investment 78 Government Spending and Taxes 80 5.4 Determining Equilibrium Income 80 5.5 Changes in Equilibrium Income 83 5.6 Fiscal Stabilization Policy 88 5.7 Exports and Imports in the Simple Keynesian Model 90 ^5.8 Conclusion 93 Perspectives 5-1 Macroeconomic Controversies 72 Perspectives 5-2 Fiscal Policy in Practice 90 CHAPTER 6 The Keynesian System (II): Money, Interest, and Income 97 6.1 Money in the Keynesian System 97 Interest Rates and Aggregate Demand 97 The Keynesian Theory of the Interest Rate 99 The Keynesian Theory of Money Demand 103 The Effects of an Increase in the Money Supply 107 Some Implications of Interest on Money 107 Going Forward 109 6.2 The IS-LM Model 109 Money Market Equilibrium: The LM Schedule 110 Product Market Equilibrium: The IS Schedule 119 The IS and LM Schedules Combined 129 6.3 Conclusion 131 Appendix: The A Igebra of the IS-LM Model 132 Perspectives 6-1 Residential Construction and the Interest Rate 100 CHAPTER 7 The Keynesian System (III): Policy Effects in the IS-LM Model 136 7.1 Factors That Affect Equilibrium Income and the Interest Rate 136 Monetary Influences: Shifts in the LM Schedule 136 Real Influences: Shifts in the IS Schedule 137
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