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Fiscal Policy Statement Fiscal Policy Statement 2006-07 Debt Policy Coordination Office (DPCO), Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan Islamabad, January 31, 2007 TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents ..................................................................................................... i List of Tables………………………………………………………………………ii Acknowledgements ................................................................................................ iii List of Acronyms ................................................................................................... iv Introduction ..............................................................................................................1 Why Rule Based Fiscal Policy .................................................................................2 Principles of Tax Policy ...........................................................................................4 Fiscal Policy Developments .....................................................................................5 Fiscal Performance during July-December 2006 ...............................................7 CBR Revenue Projections for 2006-07..............................................................7 CBR Revenue Performance during July-Dec 2006 ...........................................8 Overall Tax Collection and Refunds during 2005-06 ........................................9 Detailed Analysis of Individual Taxes during 2005-06 .............................10 Expenditure Policy .................................................................................................17 Public Expenditure Management Reforms ......................................................17 Developments in Expenditure during 2005-06 ................................................19 Sustainability of Fiscal Policy ...............................................................................20 Medium-Term Budgetary Framework ...................................................................21 Public-Private Partnership .....................................................................................21 Review of Public Debt ...........................................................................................22 Report on Compliance with FRDL Act 2005 ........................................................24 Concluding Remarks ..............................................................................................26 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 : Sharing Tax Burden among various sectors ..........................................4 Table 2 : Fiscal Indicators as percent of GDP ......................................................6 Table 3 : Comparison of CBR Revenue ...............................................................7 Table 4 : CBR Revenue Collection During July-December 2006 ........................8 Table 5 : Net Tax Collection (2004-05 and 2005-06) .........................................10 Table 6 : Sectoral Composition of Income Tax (Gross Collection) ...................10 Table 7 : Withholding Tax Collection ................................................................11 Table 8 : Contribution of Major Revenue Spinners in Indirect Taxes ................12 Table 9 : Sales Tax Collection from Domestic Activity by Major Commodity .14 Table 10: Value of Imports and Sales Tax Collection at Import Stage ...............15 Table 11: Growth in Major Revenue Spinners Of Customs Duty ......................16 Table 12: Performance of Major Revenue Spinners of FED ...............................17 Table 13: Consolidated Revenue & Expenditure Performance ...........................19 Table 14: Trends in Public Debt ..........................................................................22 ii Acknowledgement Acknowledgement This report has been produced by the Debt Policy Coordination Office (DPCO) to fulfill the requirement laid out under Section 6 of the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act 2005. It is a result of concerted efforts of the core team of this office. I would like to thank various Ministries, Departments and Divisions for timely provision of the data to the DPCO. In particular, we would like to acknowledge the support from the Budget Wing (MoF) and the Central Board of Revenue (CBR). I would also like to recognize the hard work put in by Zafar-ul-Hassan, Assistant Economic Adviser, Economic Adviser Wing, in bringing this comprehensive policy document to fruition. The research support from Dr. Farhan Hameed, Senior Economist, Debt Office is also acknowledged. Dr. Ashfaque Hasan Khan Director General (Debt Office) Ministry of Finance iii
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